Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil runoff, poll shows ReutersWed, February 25, 2026 at 11:44 AM UTC 0 1 / 0Brazil&x27;s Lula seen beating Flavio Bolsonaro in 2026 election, poll showsBrazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends an event in Brasilia, Brazil, February 11, 2026. REUTERS/Mateus Bonomi SAO PAULO, Feb 25 (Reuters) Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads all firstround scenarios for October's election but has seen his advantage over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential runoff disappear, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Wednesday.
Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil run-off, poll shows
ReutersWed, February 25, 2026 at 11:44 AM UTC
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1 / 0Brazil's Lula seen beating Flavio Bolsonaro in 2026 election, poll showsBrazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends an event in Brasilia, Brazil, February 11, 2026. REUTERS/Mateus Bonomi
SAO PAULO, Feb 25 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads all first-round scenarios for October's election but has seen his advantage over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential run-off disappear, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Wednesday.
* Leftist Lula would take between 43% and 47% of the vote infive simulated first-round scenarios with different opponents. * Right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro, meanwhile, is seentaking between 33% and 40% in four different scenarios.
RUN-OFF
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* Lula and Flavio are virtually tied in a potential run-off,with 46.2% and 46.3%, respectively. * In a January poll, Lula led the senator 49.2%-44.9%,already down from a 12-point edge in December. * Lula would beat six other potential opponents but losenarrowly to Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas.
* Markets have tracked polls closely since imprisoned formerPresident Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son Flavio sentBrazil's currency and equities sliding in December, as investorshad expected him to back a more market-friendly name such asFreitas. * The 80-year-old Lula, who defeated the elder Bolsonaro in2022, will seek a fourth nonconsecutive term as president. * In Brazil, if no candidate gets more than 50% of validvotes, the two frontrunners go to a second-round vote, which hashappened in every election since 2002. * AtlasIntel surveyed 4,986 people between February 19-24.The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point in eitherdirection.
(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Gabriel Araujo and Nivedita Bhattacharjee)
Source: "AOL Breaking"
Source: Breaking
Published: 2026-02-25T11:54:28Z on Source: RED MAG
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