Presidential election 2024 live updates: Donald Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris surge, according to top forecaster

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Presidential election 2024 live updates: Donald Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris surge, according to top forecaster

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Donald Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris in the 2024 general election have improved in recent days after a string of positive polls, according to a top election forecaster. The vice president is still considered the favorite in the latest prediction 538, but the Republican nominee is closing the gap with 41 days to go until Election Day. 538, formerly Five-Thirty-Eight, gives Harris a 55-in-100 chance of winning the Electoral College while Trump is at a 45-in-100 chance, a bump from 39 in September.
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